College basketball picks

The college basketball model is being rebuilt on a new data backend. Picks and the full historical record will appear here automatically once it's connected.

How the model works: it estimates the probability the home team covers from the spread, the offensive-efficiency rank gap, the elite strength-of-schedule gap and the Barthag rating gap (Torvik ratings as of game day). Default plays are High- and Mid-Major home games with 55-75% model confidence where the home team is not favored by a point or more.